Andrew DePietro- from https://www.msn.com
To determine the “true” value of an average home in 30 years, GOBankingRates conducted a study that analyzed the cost of renting vs. buying as well as the appreciation in home values by 2048. You might be surprised by what your home is worth.
How Much Is My Home Worth?
In order to find out what your house is “really” worth, the study took the current national median home value of $220,100 as the starting point. To forecast the next 30 years, the study calculated the change in home values from 2009 to 2019, based on Zillow’s home value projection for next year. This 10-year period includes the economic downturn and fallout from the housing crash, which helps make GOBankingRates’ projection more conservative and realistic. The projected 10-year growth in home values was determined to be about 43% or 3.4% per year.
The next key analysis was determining how much renting would cost for the next 30 years. Based on the current median rent of $1,441, the study calculated that your monthly rent would reach $2,723 after 30 years of rent growth. That means you’d spend an estimated $720,079 on rent between 2018 and 2048 — with absolutely no equity to show for all that money.
Cost of Renting vs. Buying a Home
Compare the cost of renting vs. owning a home — i.e., having a mortgage and making regular monthly payments. With a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, based on a $220,100 home and the current average mortgage rate, you’d pay $1,121 a month for the next three decades, avoiding the issue of rising rental rates by having fixed monthly payments.
Over 30 years of paying $1,121 a month — or $13,452 per year — a mortgage will cost a little over $400,000. That means you’d save approximately $316,519 by owning a home vs. renting: Take the $720,079 in rent and subtract it by the $403,560 mortgage.
In addition, your $220,100 house would be worth close to $640,000 by 2048, based on an average growth of 43% per decade, or 3.4% a year. When you combine the amount saved by owning ($316,519) with your home value after 30 years of appreciation ($639,346), you get the “real” worth of your home, which is an estimated $955,865.